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Blocking & Tackling
XVI August, 2007 Truck Parts & Service
Tires, Toothpaste and Truck Parts... Not Exactly Sam’s
Choice
By Bill Wade
Wade& Partners
First, know that I don’t have an ‘I-told-you-so’ bone in my
body. But the November, 2004 issue of this magazine carried a column detailing
concerns with China as the end all solution for supposedly price sensitive heavy
truck parts.
Most of the problematic scenario I painted there has
recently come true. Quality concerns, shifting currency valuations, exploding
longshoreman wage demands, evaporating government rebate support and
environmental concerns have lined up as a perfect storm to rain on the Chinese
parade toward manufacturing dominance.
Source of supply is certainly
an important issue. However, there are two ways to increase results in this
market... improving how you buy and improving how you sell.
My personal bias has always
been that innovation in sales pays a far greater dividend (and lasts longer
than) a purchase advantage. Customer service can become a virtually unassailable
competitive advantage, whether the competition is another independent
distributor or an OEM dealer.
With these observations as
background, there are some real questions (at least to me) of the value of
private brands as a major distributor weapon in the heavy truck parts wars.
We are not alone in facing this
question. Total private label share of US retail sales is expected to hit about
22% by 2009... A 50% increase in 9 years. Wal-Mart has already achieved
40% of its sales on store brands and store brands are present in 95% of consumer
product categories.
The simple reason that private
brands are succeeding is that too many name brands lack the development skills
to avoid becoming unchanging commodities that can be reverse engineered –
quickly, accurately and cheaply – then made and sold for a lot less, without any
perceived loss of value by the end user.
Distributors and groups have
deployed a range of private labels that roughly fall into three historic
patterns:
- The original, generic lines were
typically of inferior quality and sold at the lowest price as a minimal
solution (the 30/30 warranty... 30 feet or 30 seconds... which ever comes
first).
After declining to low levels of total sales, “value labels” are making a
comeback with better quality augmented by unconditional (never to be
remembered) guarantees.
- About 50% of all private labels
are “copy cat” products that clone the quality and look of the best selling
brand items as close as is legally (mostly)
possible.
The automotive aftermarket is awash in these. They have killed the supplier
margins necessary to support vital functions like tech training and sales
support.
- Some groups are considering
“premium” label HD products similar to “President’s Choice” in grocery
chains or “Kirkland” at Costco.
These products may actually be of better quality than the traditional national
brand, but still sell for less. The trick here is critical mass and
absolute supply chain control.
The long term survivors in heavy
duty private brand efforts will be total supply
chain value propositions with focused business models that allow deep discounts
on both copy cat and unique product brands (like Trader Joe’s and Ikea ).
These players will grow the
fastest, make the best return on assets, but private label will continue to be
restricted by tight strategic scope.
The real danger is that
distributors will put too much emphasis on the better margin percentages
that they get on private labels instead of focusing on the profit dollars
generated to cover duplicate inventory and other costs.
Interestingly, studies have
concluded that 50% of private brands are net losers from a profitability
perspective... even though they have higher margin percents built
into their lower price.
Offering knock-offs of the most
popular commodities at lower prices with fatter margin percents has usually
resulted in quick “new” sales. Four key questions persist:
- What percent of these are new
sales are to fleets that were already buying the branded products that
yielded almost the same total margin dollars (albeit at a lower margin
percent times a higher price)?
- With long supply lines from Asia,
plus container quantity shipments, are the clones really turning-and-earning
with equal or better fill-rate satisfaction for customers that have switched
from standard brands?
- Private labels can no longer be
dismissed as a cheap and nasty alternative to the real thing. Must suppliers
bow down before the all-powerful distributors, or can multi-level offerings
exist?
- Brands are not dead, but premium brand
manufacturers must fight to justify any price gap and perceived quality
advantage. What does research tell us about the behavior of consumers and
price instability?
These concerns won’t fade as fast as the
concern over poisoned cat food. Bruce Merrifield and I are working on some ideas
to answer some of these questions... more to come soon.
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